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Chapter 2799 Many reasons

Li Zhongxin did not complain about the Meteorological Bureau in Jiangcheng, and he had no resentment.

Because Li Zhongxin knew in his heart that it would be very good to be able to report similar weather in a local meteorological observatory in Jiangcheng.

After all, Jiangcheng is not an important area, let alone the weather forecast is not accurate more than ten years ago or twenty or thirty years ago, which is normal. At that time, there were no such advanced things as now.

The weather forecast at that time was just a reference, and the general direction was to look at the Central Meteorological Observatory.

"Uncle Banshan, what you said about inaccurate weather forecasts was in the past. Nowadays, technology is becoming more and more advanced, and weather forecasts are becoming more and more accurate. People like the people I host today are meteorological experts. They have been doing weather forecasts for decades, and they are quite powerful people.

And! Meteorological science is a prediction science and has certain uncertainty in itself.

In addition, the monitoring outlets are not precise enough to each area, and the weather forecast is a probability forecast. For example, in summer, strong convective weather is frequent. Due to factors such as terrain, there is more local precipitation, and the possibility of forecast errors will increase. Based on the current technological level, weather forecasts cannot reach 100% accuracy, but the meteorological department will do 100% to improve the forecast accuracy.

This time, I also told several experts that our Jiangcheng New District is preparing to build a meteorological station to make a meteorological forecast for the Jiangcheng New District TV station. They will tell the Central Meteorological Bureau that at that time, we will equip our Jiangcheng New District with the latest equipment and some high-quality meteorological talents." Li Zhongxin explained to Feng Banshan with a smile.

Li Zhongxin had some ideas about building a new meteorological station in Jiangcheng New District. The Meteorological Bureau in the old city of Jiangcheng is basically a place where local leaders and their families are gilded. People from that place go in and get mixed qualifications and wages. If they expect them to do this, it would be better for them to start a new job and invest in the construction of a meteorological station.

Just like now, Jiangcheng New District is basically complete with all the internal organs, only the things that should be found in the city, and Jiangcheng New District basically has everything.

Even bus stations and train stations are available. Li Zhongxin’s idea is very simple. He needs to build Jiangcheng New District. If there are no accidents, it will not take much time. Jiangcheng New District is equivalent to one of the main urban areas in Hei Province, and will far away all other cities except the provincial capital city.

"With the equipment and those professionals, the weather forecast will be 100% accurate? I still have a skeptical attitude towards this thing, unless the Meteorological Bureau is built, the return forecast will be accurate." Feng Banshan still had an expression of not believing in the weather forecast.

"Uncle Banshan, what about this matter! Let's explain to you this way, weather forecasting is a science of prediction. From the perspective of scientific laws, prediction science cannot be completely accurate or always accurate, and the same is true for weather forecasting.

Weather forecast is a complex systematic project, which is finally formed based on atmospheric scientific theory, based on various meteorological detection methods, numerical weather forecast as the core, and relying on the comprehensive judgment and analysis of forecasters. There is certain uncertainty in each link, and it is impossible for each forecast result to be consistent with the actual situation.

First of all, what we call humans have not fully grasped the understanding of the atmosphere. Various weather generations and changes are caused by the continuous movement of the atmosphere.

Due to the complexity of atmospheric movement, although with the development of science and technology and the continuous improvement of atmospheric detection methods, human beings' understanding of the objective laws of atmospheric movement has continued to deepen, scientists cannot truly describe the subtle structure of atmospheric movement.

Secondly! The observation networks that our country has now been laid out have not yet been laid. Although meteorological detection has developed into a three-dimensional observation system covering foundations, space-based and space-based, ground observation stations, high-altitude observation stations, automatic meteorological stations, radar observation stations, and meteorological stars form an observation network that monitors atmospheric movements and changes at all times.

However, this network will have omissions in small and medium-sized weather systems, just like catching small fish in a large net, which is easy to miss. Moreover, the observation data may have errors. For example, the wind direction and wind speed observation results are based on the average value of two minutes observations, which may have certain errors.

Also, the current weather forecasts are all modeled. Although these numerical weather forecast models can evolve atmospheric changes, they are not 100% accurate. The weather is impermanent, which is comparable to people's hearts.

Changes in weather are the result of changes in the atmospheric movement around the earth. Atmospheric movement changes must physically comply with some laws of fluid mechanics and thermodynamics. These laws can be written into mathematical equations in mathematical language.

People use high-performance computers to turn weather forecasting problems into problems solved by mathematical equations. This method is called numerical weather forecasting, which is the core of modern weather forecasting. However, no set of models can truly simulate atmospheric evolution, but only approximation, and there must be errors.

Finally, the experience and level of the forecaster we are talking about will make the forecast differentiate. The forecast result calculated by the numerical model cannot be directly used as the forecast conclusion. The forecaster must also explain and apply it and correct it according to the local situation.

The weather forecast in Jiangcheng is not accurate, and there are many reasons. There are problems with these points, so I plan to build a new meteorological station in Jiangcheng New District." Li Zhongxin patiently explained the inaccurate weather forecast he knew to Feng Banshan.

"Zhongxin, if you do that, will it cause dissatisfaction with the meteorological observatory in Jiangcheng? You know, I have never heard of any city creating two meteorological stations." Feng Banshan was not worried about the accuracy of the weather forecast and asked about other things directly.

"I don't know whether it will cause dissatisfaction in Jiangcheng, and I don't want to worry about this matter.

A large part of the things built by our Jiangcheng New District are the same as those in Jiangcheng, such as train stations, bus stations, cultural palaces, libraries, etc. We have everything in Jiangcheng New District, and we have not seen that Jiangcheng does not allow it or talk about other things.
Chapter completed!
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