Chapter 12, the outbreak of the third near eastern war
In London, the emergence of the anti-Turkey alliance directly broke all previous plans of the British government.
At this time, Prime Minister Gladstone was no longer concerned with rescuing the Ottoman, but how to ensure India's safety.
"What's going on in France?"
Foreign Minister George shook his head: "It's very bad. This empire is simply paper-based and weak.
Bourgeois Revolutionary Party, Republicans, Social Revolutionary Party, Orleans Restoration Organization, Bourbon Restoration Organization, Italian Independent Organization...
It is unimaginable how the Bonaparte dynasty could hold on to it with so many anti-government forces in a country.”
Looking at the worried British Foreign Secretary, no one could imagine that these messy organizations had basically received funding from the British government.
After unremitting efforts, these investments finally began to work. Unfortunately, the timing was wrong, and all the outbreaks were counterproductive.
There is nothing to blame, everyone does this. The London government is supporting French anti-government organizations, while the Paris government is also supporting anti-British organizations.
Gladstone nodded heavily: "The French are indeed a little active. The magic box that Napoleon opened with his own hands finally took revenge on his empire."
After saying that, Gladstone realized something was wrong. It seemed that Britain shot himself in the foot in the current situation.
Without their selfless dedication, the French Revolutionary Party would not have grown bigger, let alone the current French civil war.
There is no civil war in France, and Austria will never dare to launch a war rashly without ensuring the security of the Western Front.
Thinking of this, Gladstone showed a hint of bitterness: "It seems that we and the French have both been fooled by Austria, and have been led by the Austrians until now."
Foreign Minister George waved his hand: "Prime Minister, you are too pessimistic. It is a complete coincidence that the situation has developed to this point.
There may be Austria pushing the ball, but they decided not to think that France would be so weak and unrestrained."
From the perspective of interests, Austria has become the biggest beneficiary. Britain seems to be in a passive state, and the benefits they have obtained are definitely not low.
Whether it is the short francs in the front, or the dumping of goods, suppressing competitors, or snatching the interests of the French overseas, Britain is the winner.
The only mistake was to ignore the internal contradictions in France.
The internal contradictions in France were caused by many reasons. Britain and Austria conquered France's financial system and dumping goods were just a catalyst for contradictions.
In the early days of the Industrial Revolution, France quickly completed industrialization with strong capital.
With the advancement of industrialization, the shortage of industrial raw materials is becoming increasingly serious. In order to ensure the smooth development of industrial production, the French had to import them in large quantities.
Affected by the "import" of raw materials, the cost of industrial production in France has always remained high. It is not important to play with it by yourself when you are closed. The situation becomes serious after joining the free system.
In order to gain an advantage in market competition, capitalists have tried every means to reduce industrial production costs, including increasing exploitation of the working class.
Wherever there is oppression, there is resistance. The cruel exploitation of capitalists directly led to the outbreak of the French workers' movement.
In addition to internal factors, France's annexation of the Italian region is also an important factor in intensifying conflicts.
The merged French market has increased significantly compared with the previous one, but it has increased not only not only the market, but also the demand for industrial raw materials and greater employment pressure.
Due to the gap in economic development levels, labor prices in Italy are much lower, and a large number of Italy flock to France to work.
The sufficient labor force, while promoting the development of French industry and commerce, also provides capitalists with the confidence to unscrupulously exploit the working class.
In the era of Napoleon III, the scale of French industry was still very limited, and the demand for raw materials was not very large. French industry and commerce did not need to bear higher production costs, so the economy was naturally very good.
By the time of Napoleon IV, the total amount of French industry increased, industrial costs increased significantly, and corporate profits began to decrease.
Especially after joining the free trade system, market competition has become more cruel and labor-management conflicts have become increasingly serious.
Crisis is everywhere, mainly limited to the lower class. Capital controls the media, labor-capital crisis is diluted, or concepts are changed, and the crisis is hidden in blind spots that rulers cannot see.
Before the outbreak of the revolution, France's economy still seemed very prosperous, so the London government naturally did not know that this empire was strong outside and had to work hard on both sides.
The strong appearance of the inherent concept of geopolitics and the domineering attitude of the French government, and finally the London government concluded that this is the conclusion of the greatest threat.
There is no need to say that the biggest threat is of course to suppress the highest specifications.
Austria is also regarded as the biggest threat. France, which is sandwiched in the middle, unfortunately was suppressed by two of the most powerful countries in the world.
After a combination of punches, the power of the tiger was exposed. The internal contradictions intensified, making the situation in France completely out of control.
This is the common responsibility of previous governments, and Gladstone decisively shifted this sensitive topic: "It has come to this point, and it is useless to say more.
The key now is to find a way to help Napoleon IV stabilize the situation, restore strength, and alleviate the pressure we have to face."
Finance Minister Xiaozhi Childes analyzed: "To stabilize the situation in France, we must first stabilize the French economy.
This is very difficult, and the economic situation in our country is also very bad. The government cannot stop capitalists from dumping.
The Paris Revolution frightened the French bourgeoisie, and Napoleon IV had already gained the support of domestic consortiums, and now he is not short of money."
The French economic crisis is rampant, largely due to the overcapacity of Britain and Austria transfer. The most effective way to restore the economy in the short term is to protect the market.
But this violates the free trade agreement and belongs to the core interests of Britain and Austria. The London government does not have the spirit of self-sacrificing oneself and cannot allow such a thing to happen.
If France unilaterally breaches the contract and is not punished, other countries will follow suit when encountering problems. The free trade system established by the British government after hundreds of thousands of years of hard work collapsed.
Napoleon IV never announced his withdrawal from the free trade system, because he was afraid that it would stimulate Britain and Austria and lose international support.
Gladstone fell into contemplation, which was a dilemma. If the London government was willing to give in, the French would definitely adopt trade barriers.
The consequence is that the domestic economic crisis has intensified, the situation has become more turbulent, and the bourgeoisie with damaged interests will bring them off.
After hesitating for a while, Gladstone chose to follow his heart. He was the British Prime Minister and needed to be responsible for the British people.
"Increase diplomatic support, mobilize our influence, and lobby more people to support Napoleon IV.
If possible, stabilize the Orleans and the Bourbon dynasties first. As long as they do not take action, the French army will not be in chaos, and the rebellion will be quelled soon."
There is no way. Although Napoleon III took the opportunity to cleanse the military forces loyal to the former dynasty after taking office, there is no way to eradicate the influence.
The Paris Revolution has not been suppressed for a long time, but some people in the French army were thrust into the hindrance, and many troops did not work on the battlefield.
George nodded: "The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has already contacted the Orleans and the Bourbons, and the current situation is not what they want to see.
We are planning to arrange a meeting between three royal representatives in the near future to reconcile conflicts between all parties as much as possible.”
The situation in France is very bad now. Both the Orleans and the Bourbon dynasty are at a disadvantage in this round of reshuffle. Even if the Bonaparte dynasty is over, it will not be their turn to restore the dynasty.
If there were several royal families in Eastern countries that would have been killed long ago, there would definitely be no feasibility of compromise.
However, the situation in Europe is special, and the situation in France is even more special. The three royal families represent the interests of the three waves of nobles, which are essentially introduced by interest groups.
The Orleans Dynasty did not kill all the nobles loyal to the Bonaparte dynasty, and Napoleon III came to power without massacring the nobles loyal to the Orleans.
Under the tradition of not killing aristocrats easily, the so-called purge is nothing more than letting these guys who failed the political struggle go home.
After returning home, a large number of these losers were still rich and had considerable strength in the local area.
No one is willing to be marginalized. These frustrated people are sponsors of the restoration activities. Those responsible for carrying out the restoration actions are the nobles who failed in the power struggle and led to the decline of their families.
If they want to return to the center of power and revive family glory, the best choice is restoration.
There are financial supporters, and there are also people who are willing to fight. This is why the French royal restoration forces have been prosperous.
When they arrived at the royal family in the audience, they only had influence, and they did not have the strength to command the heroes.
Except for the Bonaparte Dynasty's alternative version of Napoleon III, the other two royal families did not perform positively in the restoration.
Reconciling conflicts between all parties is actually a distribution of interests. As long as the interest groups behind it reach a compromise, the restoration activities can also be postponed.
...
The actions of the British did not affect the actions of the anti-Turkish alliance. Under the leadership of the Vienna government, Austria, Russia, Montenegro and Greece held an anti-Turkish conference in Vienna.
After a brief contact, the representatives of the four countries agreed that only by overthrowing the barbaric and brutal Ottoman government can the Ottomans enter civilized society.
On May 16, 1882, representatives of the four countries formally concluded an anti-Turkish alliance in Vienna with the overthrow of the Ottoman government as its mission and the demise of the Ottoman Empire as its mission.
The day after the signing of the alliance, the Vienna government formally declared war on the Ottoman Empire on the grounds that the Ottoman refused to hand over the murderer.
In the following week, the Greek, Montenegro and Russian Empire declared war on the Ottoman Empire on their own reasons, and the Third Near East War broke out in full swing.
There are also advantages and disadvantages if you have a few more allies. The most direct impact is that Austria's combat plan has been changed.
This war came too suddenly, and neither Russia, Montenegro nor Greece were ready for war. Materials could be provided by Austria, but the time for the army to assemble was required.
In order not to have an embarrassing situation where the Austrian army fought hard on the front line and allies cheered up in the rear, Franz decisively ordered the military to suspend the attack.
A strange scene appeared, and the Near East War broke out, but only the Austrian Navy was operating.
Chapter completed!