Can someone predict the best film of the year? No. Can someone predict the best director of the year? No. Can someone predict the best actor of the year? No. Can someone predict the best actor of the year? No.

Can anyone predict the best actress of the year? Also not.

A month ago, it was generally believed that Charlize Theron would win the Oscar for his wonderful performances in the "Female Devil". Even though she just won the Best Supporting Actress Little Golden Man at the Oscar last year, the American Actors Union believed so, but the Golden Globes did not think so. The drama and music comedy best actors were awarded to Cate Blanchett and Gwyneth Paltrow respectively, which made everyone confused.

In this hot list of Oscar nominations, both Golden Ball Best Actress won the final and will launch the strongest impact on the Best Actress Award. Meryl Streep, who is "priceless in family affection", and Fairlanda Montenegro of "Central Station" were also undoubtedly shortlisted, and the last seat belonged to Charlize, who is "female devil".

In addition to Kate and Gwyneth, "Central Station" won the Golden Bear Award and the Best Actress Silver Bear Award at the just-concluded Berlin Film Festival. On the Oscar, it was only shortlisted for the Best Foreign Language Film and Best Actress. The foreign language film department also had a "Beautiful Life" and was very impressive. This will inevitably make all votes focus on Ferranda; in addition, Meryl, who has already achieved legendary success step by step, no one of these four competitors should be underestimated.

Charlize became the biggest hit in the awards season with her performance that has been recorded in the history of the "Female Devil", but no one should forget that she is only twenty-three years old this year, which is too young; no one should forget that she only won a Little Golden Man last year, and is it too intensive to win consecutive awards this year; no one should forget that the overall quality of "Female Devil" was mediocre, and only ranked for the award for Best Actress, and other departments were wiped out. This is really no advantage over the destruction of "Shape's Love History", the historical heritage of "Elizabeth" and the reputation of "Central Station" are so great.

This is the core issue of the award ceremony: strength is not the only measure of winning the award, because it is not mathematics.

So, the competition between these five actors may be slightly inferior to the competition for the best actors, but the suspense level has not diminished at all.

The same pattern also appeared in the Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress Department.

James Coburn of "suffering"; Robert Duval of "the forbidden truth", Ed Harris of "Trumen's World", Jeffrey Rush of "Shapes' Love History", and Billy Bob Thunton of "a three-pointer" were shortlisted for the supporting actor.

Lynn Redgreve of "Gods and Beasts", Rachel Griffiths of "she is lonely than fireworks", Casey Bates of "storm"; Nicole Kidman of "Trumen's World", and Judy Dench of "Shape's Love History", will compete against the supporting actress Little Golden Man.

Among these two departments, at least three candidates have the ability to win awards. Robert, Ed and Jeffrey in the supporting actor department are almost in close combat; Judy, Lynn and Casey in the supporting actress department are bound to have a hard fight. This makes every award full of suspense.

Add to the best original script department where "Trumen's World", "Save Private Ryan", "Shape's Love History", "Beautiful Life" and "Brave Customers" gathered. It can be said that after the Oscar nomination list came out, countless people were full of expectations for the award ceremony, because it would inevitably be an unpredictable night.

In fact, looking at the awards season just passed, in the three complicated periods, various awards ceremony made different choices.

The American producer union chose "Shapes' Love History", the American director union chose "Save Private Ryan", the American screenwriter union chose "Trueman's World", the American Actors union chose "Beautiful Life" and "Female Devil" respectively, and the American recording union chose "thin red lines".

In addition, the North American Radio and Film Critics Association Award, the Los Angeles Film Critics Association chose "Shape's Love History", the National Critics Association Award and the Golden Globe Award chose "Save Private Ryan", the National Critics Association Award and the New York Film Critics Association chose "True World", the Boston Critics Association Award and the San Francisco Film Critics Association Award chose "Thin Red Line", the Chicago Film Critics Association Award, the Southeast Film Critics Association Award, and the San Diego Film Critics Association Award all chose "Beautiful Life".

As expected, the pattern of "Save Soldier Ryan" or "Trumen's World" sweeping across thousands of troops did not appear. On the contrary, the five works were evenly matched and the overall momentum was completely comparable, making people completely unable to grasp the overall context of this awards season.

On the one hand, it is because this is the first year of the awards season. Everyone did not work towards the same goal as the "Oscars" on the same frequency, and their different judgment criteria have led to completely different results; on the other hand, it is because the PR war initially showed its power, and the two works with absolutely leading strength were released during the summer vacation, which is too "long" since December. It is not surprising that they are at a disadvantage without sufficient PR publicity strategy cooperation.

From the list of Golden Globes to the nomination list of Oscars, people in the circle linked "Oscars" to "Award Season" for the first time, truly realizing the meaning of the awards season. With the Oscar as the center, all awards ceremony can be linked together within a time frame of three months before and after, and jointly push the grand event of the film industry to **. This is a win-win strategy, and no one will refuse!

At this moment, people really noticed the Weinstein brothers. The two producers walked from behind the scenes to half-scenes for the first time, and took the crew of "Shapes Love History" to every corner of Hollywood, allowing the reputation of this work to accumulate little by little, and finally achieved a great victory in the Oscar nomination stage.

This is a PR victory, not a Strength victory.

It’s not that “Shapespeare’s Love History” is a bad work. On the contrary, the overall level of this work is actually quite good. Even if it is shortlisted for the Oscar for Best Picture, it will not cause much controversy. This is also the fundamental reason why the Weinstein brothers’ public relations exhibition can play a role. Professionals are not fools, they also have their own aesthetic standards. But the “trick” is precisely hidden in this blurred boundary.

"Shapes' Love History" is a masterpiece, but can it be compared with "Trumen's World" and "Save Private Ryan"? Obviously not so, let alone surpass these two classics. However, under the publicity of the Weinstein brothers, people's concepts have been shaken: Is this really the case?

Some negative rumors began to spread in the circle, such as "Save Private Ryan" maliciously exploiting extras during filming, and long-term hard shooting led to many people being hospitalized; for example, the theme of "Trumen's World" is too thin, and the overall quality is not as thick as imagined; for example, "Save Private Ryan" is too sensational about the human nature of the war, but lacks reflection on the war; for example, "Trumen's World" caused water resources pollution on the set during filming, causing huge troubles to the local area; for example, the rumors that "Save Private Ryan" disrespects the veterans of World War II; for example, the rumors that the crew of "Trumen's World" discriminated against black actors...

Most of these rumors have not been confirmed and are only spread between small areas, which makes the crew of "Save Private Ryan" and "Trumen's World" annoyed, because if they explain it solemnly, the matter will get bigger and bigger, and there will be something wrong if they are not at all. But if they let it go, then they will not be able to curb these rumors; if they explain one by one, they seem to pay too much attention, and it will seem like they want to cover up the truth... This is really a dilemma.

If the negative news during the "Schindler's List" that hit the Oscars was completely a big deal, there is actually no need to worry too much, because it cannot be true or false. It is just that these small rumors that cannot be formally explained will make people unable to start.

It’s like a rumor among classmates that a certain person’s feet are smelly. It’s not a big deal, and no one will deliberately verify it. When the person heard it, he could only deny it, but he had no way to clarify it solemnly. Over time, the rumors became true, making people completely helpless.

Hidden behind these chaotic rumors, the rising momentum of "Shapespeare's Love History" has led to a complete victory in the thirteen Oscar nominations and even formed a pattern of the death group. Without knowing what happened, people have already witnessed the "Shapespeare's Love History" overturning other works and becoming the current leading seed player.

This phenomenon is really intriguing.

Although "Save Private Ryan" and "Trumen's World" also launched related public relations activities in January, DreamWorks and Paramount Pictures are obviously too unfamiliar with this and have been used to the kingly way. Suddenly, the sword goes arbitrary and cannot find the rhythm. So the results are still limited at present. However, I don't know what will happen in the next period of time and what changes will happen in the battle situation.

But it is certain that the concept of awards season has gradually formed, and the college's public relations example has emerged, and the market changes are full of expectations. In this lively trend, February was spent vigorously, and the 41st Grammy, which lacks glory to death, is also lacking in quality. Following last year's Lean-Lyme, the new female singer Lauryn Hill (lauryn.hill) of the R&B, was born, winning five awards, but failed to create more topics.
Chapter completed!