Chapter 2476 How to end the war 1
"The military factors in this war are up to 50%, while the remaining 50% are economic and political factors. It is a dream to rely on military forces to resolve the war in the Pacific direction!" Nishiyuanji Kou-ho said the following words not only made Yamamoto Hoshi Ei and Shimamura Soo feel dissatisfied and puzzled, but also made Masato Nakachi sitting opposite him feel uncomfortable.
Although the navy and army are opposed on many issues, they have always been crazy believers of military power, and believe that using the sword in their hands can solve all problems. But now, when Nishizoji Kou said this, it undoubtedly devalued the value of the sword in their hands! It was just that it was frightened by Nishizoko's pressure that no one had aroused the moment.
"I am very disappointed with you. The military's power is getting bigger and bigger, and the attempts are getting bigger. But I can't see an existence that can inherit my legacy in Chinese or political parties. I am very worried that the government of this country will become a tool for soldiers. I am really worried. The army is the pillar of the country, but the army cannot control the government. If you can have some political and strategic qualities, then our communication will be very relaxed, but you don't."
"Even the German Empire, which had the strongest military color among the great powers, their soldiers strictly abide by their own code - not participating in politics much. Although their leaders are proficient in military affairs, they can handle the relationship between military and politics well. They fully realize that military is just a tool of politics. They will not start wars for wars, but they will consider how the war begins, how it proceeds and how it ends from a political perspective."
"But in your eyes, I have not seen the unique ideas of politicians. All your efforts to end the war revolve around military affairs. This cannot be wrong, after all, most wars end with military means. But this does not include the war we are facing now." The words of Nishimotoji Komatsu were filled with deep disappointment and dissatisfaction.
"Your Excellency Yamamoto, you are actually very pessimistic about the current situation, because you can't find an idea that can eventually make the Americans give up from a military perspective. So, in the end, you chose this excuse that made the Americans feel that the price of winning the war was too high and forced to give up. Am I talking about it? In our previous conversations, you made a good plan for combat, but the result of each battle still could not hurt the Americans even according to the best estimate. So you put forward the alternative view of finding opportunities and fighting the Americans. However, this just exposed your weak nature!"
"I am not very proficient in military affairs, but I know a little bit, and my staff will also provide some advice. They are retired senior navy and army leaders, proficient in military operations at the battle and tactical levels. They have unanimously given me an opinion that accidents are most likely to occur in small-scale battles, and the larger the war, the unexpected factors will be severely reduced. Because according to mathematical principles, when the sample becomes larger, accidental events that are beneficial to you and accidental events that are not conducive to you will eventually go to balance. Therefore, victory in large-scale decisive battles is more inclined to be stronger!" said Nishizoji.
Is this statement reasonable? There must be some, such as the Battle of the Denmark in 2 battles in history, the battleship of the Prince of Wales and the Battlecruiser of Hood against the Bismarck and the Prince Eugen heavy cruiser. In terms of strength, the British obviously had an absolute advantage. However, due to the mistake in the judgment of the target, the Bismarck, the most important object to be paid attention to, was ignored, and Hood was shot into the soul, so the British Navy collapsed instantly. This is a typical example of the so-called accident that determined this small-scale battle.
But this kind of thing will hardly happen in large-scale warfare, because it is impossible that you will always be lucky and take advantage of it without losing it, right? It's like you throw a coin. The probability of both sides is actually equal. The more times, the probability of both sides is closer to 1 to 1. Therefore, if you analyze it from a rational perspective, if there is no major mistake at the strategic level between the two sides, the Japanese may also make some great exchange ratios in small-scale warfare. If it is a large-scale war, then the goddess of victory will eventually tend to be the stronger side...
"And in your statement, Yamamoto also ignored a problem, or you mentioned this issue during your internal discussion, but you deliberately concealed it when communicating with me. That is, what if the Imperial Navy gained an advantage after a large-scale decisive battle, but the Virtue wanted to continue fighting?"
"Of course, you can say that the huge pressure of defeat will force the virtue to give up. But I want to ask now, if all kinds of unfavorable factors do not allow the virtue to give up, then will the Imperial Navy have a way? Can you see the huge power gap between Japan and virtue? Do virtues not know their advantages? They have 200% confidence to be sure that if both sides continue to consume, Japan will be dead! So, the defeat in a certain battle will not shake the Americans' determination to persevere. Am I right?" asked Nishinoji.
"But you also said that the Germans were not willing to destroy Japan in this war. You said that this was not in Germany's interests." Yamamoto said impatiently. Although he did not admit it, he knew that Nishinoji was right. From a military perspective, Japan does not have a chance! From a military perspective, as long as the United States and Germany want to fight and there are no other foreign factors, then Japan will eventually kneel down. The last battle of the Joint Fleet may be on Kalimantan Island, maybe in the Philippines, or even in the local area, but one thing is certain that the other side is determined to fight, and Japan will die!
Although many people have mentioned before that the international political environment and the interests of the great powers have made Japan unable to die this time, for example, Germany needs Japan to restrain the United States. Britain also needs Japan's power to suppress the rebellion in Southeast Asia and South Asia. The United States is not really ready to fight an overly protracted war. But that's it, Yamamoto's Honoured is not clear about how to operate it, because he only understands military affairs and does not understand international strategies.
Therefore, all his plans only mention how to use military means to end the war. When encountering problems that even he cannot convince himself, he fabricates some seemingly reasonable excuses to complete his plan. You can't make a plan but it will fail in the end, right? Then why do you have to plan?
Chapter completed!