Chapter Strategies are high and low
In the implementation of the strategy of "spend money to buy peace" in all dynasties, although many people believe that the alliance between Liao and the dynasty of Chanyuan is roughly a positive example. Through fixed annual monies, the two sides are basically in peace for more than a hundred years after the contract, and this amount of money accounts for a very low proportion of Song's income, which is an extremely cost-effective transaction compared to the cost of obtaining peace in war.
But this kind of peace is largely because the dynasty was forced to swallow his anger and gave up the Sixteen Prefectures of Yanyun. Liao was not as peaceful as expected. When a war broke out with the Western Xia, Liao took advantage of the situation to rob and provoke trouble at the border, and eventually forced the dynasty to increase the amount of annual monies.
As for the annual tribute to the Jin Dynasty after the Song Dynasty moved south, it was more of a helpless move due to the defeat on the battlefield. Since the initial "Tianjuan Peace Agreement", the return of the Jin Dynasty to Henan, Shaanxi and other occupied areas in exchange for the Song Dynasty to pay tribute, which was not a loss for the Song Dynasty. However, the Jin people broke the contract soon. After the ten and eleven years of Shaoxing, especially the Shaoxing peace agreement reconciled after the Huaixi War, the dynasty did not get the land, and the annual quota was still paid, which suffered a great loss.
Later, the Northern Expedition of Longxing and Kaixi, the Song court ended in failure, so the money naturally had to continue to be paid, which could be said to have lost both the wife and the army. This shows that military weakness, the effect of annual monies is getting lower and lower. Although spending money to buy peace is lower and lower than war, the effect depends on the other party's intentions.
From the perspective of grand strategic narrative, this is a very frustrating plan. But from a financial perspective, if the other party cannot be completely eliminated, then this plan is undoubtedly low-cost. Of course, whether you can buy peace with money depends on the specific situation. Therefore, Zhao Bing thought that this strategy was not advisable to end the end.
However, the current situation is that our side has the upper hand, and the Mongols are asking for and spending money, but Zhao Bing thinks it is inappropriate. Because before Genghis Khan truly unifies the Mongolian Plateau, many of the logic of the grassland world could not be inferred by the ideas of the unified dynasty of the Central Plains.
In the era when the Xiongnu, Rouran, Turks, Uighurs and other ethnic groups successively ruled the Mongolian Plateau, various tribes were spread all over the grassland world. Within these nomadic countries, there were royal branches and many subordinate tribes. Although they were usually obeyed the Shanyu or Khan in diplomatic and military aspects, they were more of a negotiable alliance on internal issues, and the nation that ruled the grassland world was more just an alliance leader.
For these leaders, their legitimacy of power comes from the fact that their ancestors defeated other competitors in the grassland world and had the right to serve as military leaders and internal arbitrators among the grassland tribes; on the other hand, they also act as negotiators and war leaders, and deal with the Central Plains dynasty on behalf of the entire grassland world. This national structure is not so much the result of its own evolution, but is gradually formed by the grassland world in order to solve its own organizational problems and effectively unite to deal with the Central Plains.
Because of this, whether they can effectively deal with the Central Plains dynasty also determined the stability of the rule of other tribes by the rulers of the grassland world at that time. After all, monopolizing the right to trade with the Central Plains dynasty means an absolute financial advantage over each tribe, and also means that their stability over other tribes has been greatly enhanced.
The Mongolian Yuan was different from that of the Yuan Dynasty. It not only formally was a unified country, but also formed a state power, established a state system, and implemented effective management of its jurisdiction. It is logical that it could already negotiate with the Song Dynasty in the name of the country, but Zhao Bing was unwilling to have a unified nomadic country, which was more threatening than a loose tribal alliance, and also required a lot of military expenditure to maintain strong force to suppress it. In this way, it would be better to destroy the country, and at least for a period of time to ensure peace with the northern nomadic peoples...
"Your Majesty, all the historians of the Han Dynasty have been proud of Emperor Wu of the Han Dynasty, even if they are far away, they will be punished. Even if the grass people talk about it today, they are in a state of excitement. They want to lift their swords and get on the horse and use the power of plowing the courtyard to sweep the cave to seal the wolf's servants. I think your Majesty also has the ambition to drive the Mongols out of the Central Plains and shed the horses outside the Horses. Now your Majesty is looking forward to regaining the Central Plains and will not make peace with the enemy!" Liu Yin saw that the Emperor of the Southern Dynasty was thinking, and he roughly understood his thoughts and said, "But this strategy also has hidden dangers. Attacking at any cost will actually cause a huge burden on the country's financial, human and material resources."
Liu Yin looked at the face of the emperor of the Southern Dynasty, not out of timidity or flattery, but was aware of his identity. To put it nicely, he could barely be considered a strategist. However, he acted a bit pedantic and stubborn. However, after reading so many books, he also understood that although the king's strategist was huge, he could even affect his decision-making. But in fact, the main responsibility of strategist was to make plans, and the person who made the decision was not him.
Moreover, Liu Yin knew the positioning of a strategist and the way to win. Compared with military generals, being a strategist is a low-risk and high-yield job. As a king of a country, he can attract talents from all over the world. It is the so-called strategist. If he wants to stand out and let the monarch see his own talent, he will often give the monarch more ideas to become a general and a prime minister and a wife and son.
In other words, strategists are also working for monarchs and emperors, so when considering problems, strategists often take themselves as their starting point. Therefore, it can also be said that strategists are not obsessed with the country, but real interests. However, in order to protect themselves, when the king asks for advice, they often propose three strategies of top, middle and lower.
Since there are three options, the monarch has room for choice. If the monarch chooses one and just confirms the result of the proof, then the strategist can make up for himself. In this way, the risk is much lower than just giving an idea. However, in fact, as a monarch, it does not care about the so-called meaning represented by the upper, middle and lower. In the eyes of a wise monarch, whether it is an idea or three countermeasures, as long as it is in line with the actual situation at the time and is beneficial to himself, it can be adopted.
In a sense, the success or failure of a decision depends on the talent and loyalty of a strategist, and on the other hand, on the strategy and judgment of the monarch. However, Liu was embarrassed by his identity. Although he entered the Song camp, his identity was still a Yuan Dynasty person and a guilty person. The emperor of the Southern Dynasty asked him about his advice, which may be a whim, or an investigation of himself. If he did not answer properly, he would have his life worries.
After staying in the camp for so long, he also gained more knowledge and understanding of the Southern Dynasty emperors from the people around him. He thought that he opened a government office and built a yamen at the age of six. Although his ministers were assisting him, he could win them over his surroundings and face the battle personally. He defeated the pursuers of the Mongol Yuan repeatedly and gained a firm foothold in Qiongzhou.
In just one year afterwards, the Southern Emperor inherited the throne with almost no reversal of national power, but was able to regain the ministers and army of the dynasty with his own ability, killing the powerful enemy Zhang Hongfan and returning to Qiongzhou. I think he was quite brave and intelligent when he was young, otherwise he would have been overshadowed by the powerful ministers and became a puppet that could be manipulated by others.
Liu Yin also heard from the close ministers beside the Emperor of the Southern Dynasty that although he was the empress dowager at the time, he had actually controlled the dynasty and everything was determined by his hands. There is no need to say much about the future. He consolidated his arms and prepared his strength, kept his low profile, and recovered Jiangnan in one fell swoop. He fought against the controversy and attacked the city of Dadu.
This shows how strong the Southern Emperor's control over power, the country's control and the situation were. If such a person could face him and adopt the suggestion, how dare Liu Yin look down on him? Besides, although he entered the Song camp with the determination to die, he did not want to die silently. He also wanted to fight for a peaceful world where people can live and work in peace.
"Eliminating evil is a great disaster for all dynasties, and our dynasty has suffered a lot. Only by removing all of them can we avoid border troubles and maintain the peaceful world forever!" Zhao Bing certainly knew the price of expedition to the grasslands, which was not just something that could be done after giving the country's strength, but he also wanted to see whether Liu Yin's view was to persuade the king to adopt a reckless strategy for his own reputation.
"Your Majesty, the Han Dynasty sent troops to the north of the Mo River several times, and launched a series of battles under the command of famous generals such as Wei Qing and Huo Qubing. Although they had a great victory, tens of thousands of casualties and the losses of more than 100,000 excellent war horses were exhausted, and the people were poor. But even if the Huns were driven away, other barbarians continued to rise, detained the pass and violated the border town, and robbed the border city. The Han Dynasty could not ban it! As expected, Liu Yin insisted on explaining the consequences.
"In the early Tang Dynasty, the country was strong and all the clans surrendered. However, Empress Wu disrupted the government and Tubo continued to attack the border. After Xuanzong ascended the throne, he changed the front line against Tubo since Wuzhou, adopted a defensive strategy, and regarded Tubo as the number one opponent, and advanced at any cost. This is what Du Fu said, "The Emperor Wu's intention to open the border has not yet been completed, and finally suppressed the powerful enemy in the Qinghai Lake Basin and the Western Regions."
"But in order to cope with the unlimited increase in border affairs expenses, Emperor Xuanzong of Tang had to appoint Yuwen Rong, Li Linfu and others to clean up hidden households on a large scale, compete for population with powerful and powerful gentry, and increase the official taxpayer household registration from more than 3 million households in the early days of his succession to more than 8 million households in the late Tianbao period, but this also led to constant struggles in the court!"
"Well, judging from the results, Xuanzong did make strategic mistakes in conquering Tubo!" Zhao Bing nodded and said.
He knew this history, but to put it bluntly, it was money. How to deal with the rising military expenditure has become the main line of personnel changes and political struggles. One of the major reasons why Li Linfu and Yang Guozhong were valued one after another was that they could meet the ever-expanding financial needs of Emperor Xuanzong of Tang for the Tubo War.
Chapter completed!